Palestine through the eyes of 2022
بقلم: Professeur Daniela Al-Quran

The possible scenarios for the future of the Palestinian cause in 2022 will be difficult and accurate on both the internal and external levels, with regard to the internal level “the internal Palestinian issue” where these scenarios come in the midst of a Palestinian-Palestinian crisis, as the issue of elections is still being postponed and its fate has not been known until now, Add to this the suspension and interruption of political negotiations between the Palestinian Authority and the Israeli occupation, and the external level “the relations of states with Israel in what is known as “normalization”, as many Arab countries continue normalization in all its forms with the Zionist enemy coinciding with the settlement and Judaization operations on the Palestinian lands.
When reading the future scenarios of the Palestinian cause regarding the security situation during 2022, the US administration will continue to delay in implementing all its promises, which will lead to the deterioration of things. There will also be slow progress, almost not at all political levels, and unfortunately the Arab silence will increase about what is happening in Palestine. And the series of normalization processes with the Israeli enemy will continue and increase in size with the Israeli enemy, and the colonial and settlement policies on the Palestinian territories will deepen if the Arab silence remains as it is. The security level will continue to deteriorate significantly because of the occupation, which does not show mercy to humans, stones or birds, and this will push the steadfast Palestinian people to make choices that are not taken into account that will further complicate the security situation. over large areas in Palestine and crowding the Palestinians into areas that are not theirs, without conducting any real process of a peaceful settlement, which they are talking about in vain, and a new intifada will erupt and the state of conflict with the occupation will increase in the absence of a political settlement between the Palestinian people and the Israeli occupation, and the conditions will be ripe for an outbreak that is not a form but rather Forms of the Palestinian Intifada will differ from its predecessors; The reason is that the Israeli measures are unprecedented in controlling the wealth of the Palestinians, suppressing them and expelling them from their areas and lands.
As for the Gaza Strip, matters will be highly likely to escalate and erupt confrontations with the Zionist enemy; The reason for the outbreak of a major escalation in 2022 is that the promises of the occupation in the Gaza Strip of reconstruction, breaking the siege, releasing prisoners and returning to calm and understandings did not achieve anything. They are false promises that were talked about seven months ago, and promises remain. Therefore, 2022 in the Gaza Strip will witness sensitive tensions. And clashes to resolve matters, especially since the gift of Saif al-Quds has not resolved the matter so far. As for Palestinian reconciliation and the besieged Gaza Strip, I think that reconciliation in 2022 will be far, at least in the near future. Unfortunately, nothing has changed now or in the future of the new year, and even the differences will increase between Fatah and Hamas. The next year will also witness for the Gaza Strip. It is unclear to what extent the Egyptian mediator will succeed in achieving the internal Palestinian reconciliation between Fatah and Hamas, and this means the absence of the possibility of reaching a prisoner exchange deal.
As for the internal Palestinian issue of Jerusalem and Al-Aqsa Mosque, we note that the Israeli occupation with its government, parties and current public is heading towards escalation and extremism and they have no intention of final settlement, and the Israeli occupation at the same time will increase its iron grip on Al-Quds, Al-Aqsa Mosque and the Arabs of 48. However, we never know the unseen, the unseen is destined From God, and it is possible for many surprises to occur contrary to expectations, the year 2022 may be different, but what we all know very well is that injustice and evil do not triumph or last.
What makes the year 2022 we do not know the elusive Arab consensus on the Palestinian file and the state of Arab harmony and consensus in support of the Palestinian cause is unattainable. Most Arab countries are beset by political crises and tense relations with neighboring countries. There are many factors that affect the future of the Palestinian cause, starting with the crisis of the Corona pandemic, energy, the Iranian file, Ukraine, the Syrian, Iraqi and Turkish affairs, escalating international crises in the region of the Arab Spring and the countries of the world, and the fragile government of Israel whose leaders are looking for wide spaces to achieve its goals and strengthen its position in the street. The Israeli and Israeli leaders find in the Palestinian street an open field of action in which there is no pressure, and they find their real opportunity to meet the desires of the Israeli public to achieve general gains for them, the absence of international pressure on Israel, the disintegration of the internal Palestinian front, and the absence of any political horizon regarding the establishment of a Palestinian state in the West Bank and Jerusalem Gaza and all these factors make the Palestinian file at the bottom of international concerns, and will once again fuel the anger of the Palestinian street. In 2022, the choice of the Palestinian people will be resistance in all its forms in the absence of a political solution and that it no longer exists, and the next year will witness a greater escalation in resistance action, which will lead to strengthening the influence of the resistance factions’ ability, whether at the individual or collective level.
The future of the Palestinian cause in the coming year will not be better than in previous years; Because of the internal division that Palestine is experiencing between Fatah and Hamas, which prevents real reconciliation that ends the partition and reunifies the institutions of the Palestinian political system. The Palestinian issue is experiencing its most difficult periods as a result of a set of internal Palestinian, external, regional and international reasons related to the Arab position after some countries disengaged their ties and relationship with Israel with settlement efforts, and the strategic shifts that hit the American position through the administration of Donald Trump in what is known as the Deal of the Century in which it abandoned the principle of a solution The two states. We hope that the year 2022 will witness the establishment of a free Palestinian Arab state on Palestinian soil, with Al-Quds Al-Sharif as its capital.